Journal of Agricultural Big Data ›› 2023, Vol. 5 ›› Issue (2): 97-108.doi: 10.19788/j.issn.2096-6369.230215
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WANG XueYing1,3(), CHEN XianGuan1,2,*(), TANG ShunJie1, FENG LiPing1
Received:
2022-07-26
Online:
2023-06-26
Published:
2023-08-15
Contact:
CHEN XianGuan
WANG XueYing, CHEN XianGuan, TANG ShunJie, FENG LiPing. Sensitivity Analysis and Adaptability Evaluation of RiceSM Model[J].Journal of Agricultural Big Data, 2023, 5(2): 97-108.
Table 1
Main parameters of RiceSM model"
参数 Parameters | 定义 Definition | 初始值 Initial values | 变化范围 Range of variation |
---|---|---|---|
K1 | 播种到出苗阶段基本发育系数 Basic development factor from sowing to seedling stage | -1.5 | -1.95~- 1.05 |
K2 | 出苗到移栽阶段基本发育系数 Basic development factor from seedling to transplanting stage | -3.15 | -4.095~2.205 |
K3 | 移栽到拔节阶段基本发育系数 Basic development factor from transplanting to jointing stage | -3.0 | -3.9~-2.1 |
K4 | 拔节到孕穗阶段基本发育系数 Basic development coefficient from jointing to booting stage | -1.5 | -1.95~-1.05 |
K5 | 孕穗到抽穗阶段基本发育系数 Basic development coefficient from booting to heading stage | -1.25 | -1.625~-0.875 |
K6 | 抽穗到黄熟阶段基本发育系数 Basic development coefficient from heading to yellow ripening stage | -3.0 | -3.9~-2.1 |
K7 | 黄熟到成熟阶段基本发育系数 Basic development coefficient from yellow ripening to ripening stage | -1.98 | -2.574~-1.386 |
Pmax | 最大光合速率 Maximum photosynthetic rate | 4.0 | 2.8~5.2 |
P1 | 播种到出苗阶段温度反应特性遗传系数 Temperature genetic coefficient from sowing to seedling stage | 0.9 | 0.63~1.17 |
Q1 | 播种到出苗阶段光周期反应特性遗传系数 Light genetic coefficient from sowing to seedling stage | 1.157 | 0.8099~1.5041 |
CLG1 | 移栽到拔节阶段根干物质的分配系数 Dry matter distribution coefficients of root from transplanting to jointing stage | 0.58 | 0.406~0.754 |
CLT1 | 移栽到拔节阶段茎干物质的分配系数 Dry matter distribution coefficients of stem from transplanting to jointing stage | 0.02 | 0.014~0.026 |
CLV1 | 移栽到拔节阶段叶干物质的分配系数 Dry matter distribution coefficients of leaf from transplanting to jointing stage | 0.4 | 0.28~0.52 |
Table 2
Sensitive parameters of RiceSM model"
输出变量 Output variables | 敏感性分析方法 Sensitivity analysis methods | 敏感参数 Sensitive parameters |
---|---|---|
成熟期 Ripening stage | Morris | K2、K3、K6、Q2、K7 |
EFAST | K3、K2、P2、Q2、K7、K6 | |
叶面积指数 Leaf area index | Morris | K3、CLV1、K2、K6、Pmax、Q3 |
EFAST | K3、CLV1、K2、K6、Pmax、Q3 | |
地上部生物量 Above-ground biomass | Morris | K3、K6、CLV1、K2、Pmax、Q3、K4 |
EFAST | K3、CLV1、K2、K6、Pmax、Q3、K4 | |
产量 Yield | Morris | K3、K6、CLV1、K2、Pmax、Q3、K4、K7 |
EFAST | K3、K2、CLV1、K6、Q2、K7、Pmax、Q3、K4 |
Table 3
Results of basic development factors of RiceSM model"
站点 Site | 类型 Type | K2 | K3 | K4 | K6 | K7 | Q2 | Q3 | Pmax | CLV1 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
长沙 Changsha | 早稻 Early rice | -2.5 | -3.05 | -1.5 | -3.0 | -1.98 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 4.0 | 0.42 |
晚稻 Late rice | -3.0 | -3.00 | -1.5 | -3.0 | -1.50 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 4.0 | 0.43 | |
常德 Changde | 早稻 Early rice | -2.5 | -3.01 | -1.5 | -3.0 | -1.50 | 0.49 | 0.50 | 4.0 | 0.42 |
晚稻 Late rice | -3.0 | -3.00 | -1.5 | -3.0 | -2.15 | 0.52 | 0.50 | 4.0 | 0.40 |
Table 4
Statistical evaluation indicators of simulated and measured leaf area index, organ biomass, yield values of early and late rice"
项目 Project | N | Xobs±SD | Xsim±SD | P(t * ) | α | β | R2 | RMSE | NRMSE (%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
早稻 Early rice | 叶面积指数 Leaf area index | 82 | 2.5± 1.9 | 2.3± 1.6 | 0.43 | 0.83 | 0.21 | 0.94 | 0.54 | 21.63 |
茎生物量Stem biomass (kg/hm2) | 61 | 1 910.6± 1 193.4 | 1 536.2± 1 294.6 | 0.1 | 0.94 | -250.24 | 0.74 | 754.88 | 39.51 | |
叶生物量Leaf biomass (kg/hm2) | 61 | 1 210.4±733.2 | 994.9± 812. 1 | 0. 13 | 0.78 | 44.74 | 0.50 | 80.34 | 6.64 | |
穗生物量 Panicle biomass (kg/hm2) | 61 | 2 546.3±2 836.0 | 2 276.5±2 674.7 | 0.59 | 0.91 | -31.27 | 0.92 | 105.62 | 4. 15 | |
地上部生物量 Above-ground biomass (kg/hm2) | 61 | 5 663.0±4 064.9 | 4 801.1±4 364.0 | 0.26 | 1.02 | -1 001.39 | 0.91 | 199.29 | 3.52 | |
产量 Yield (kg/hm2) | 12 | 4 979.7± 1 029.0 | 5 196.2±999.0 | 0.61 | 0.81 | 1 173.45 | 0.69 | 603.50 | 12. 12 | |
晚稻 Late rice | 叶面积指数 Leaf area index | 82 | 3.4±2.3 | 2.8±2.0 | 0.10 | 0.66 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 1.59 | 47.00 |
茎生物量Stem biomass (kg/hm2) | 60 | 2 413.8± 1 460.6 | 2 048.7± 1 504.6 | 0.18 | 0.87 | -58.01 | 0.72 | 115. 14 | 4.77 | |
叶生物量Leaf biomass (kg/hm2) | 60 | 1 534.0± 860.7 | 1 396.6±952.4 | 0.41 | 0.84 | 113.75 | 0.57 | 83.75 | 5.46 | |
穗生物量 Panicle biomass (kg/hm2) | 60 | 3 080.0±3 320.2 | 3 336. 1±3 605.0 | 0.67 | 1.05 | 86.92 | 0.94 | 116.50 | 3.78 | |
地上部生物量 Above-ground biomass (kg/hm2) | 60 | 7 237.8±4 937.2 | 6 753. 1±5 449.2 | 0.61 | 1.06 | -944.36 | 0.93 | 200.87 | 2.78 | |
产量 Yield (kg/hm2) | 12 | 6139.9±342.0 | 6 432.6±582.4 | 0. 15 | 0.83 | 1 322.21 | 0.24 | 570.43 | 9.29 | |
注:N为样本数,Xobs为实测平均值、Xsim为模拟平均值、SD为标准差、P(t*)为t检验显著性、α、β、R2分别为模拟值与实测值 线性相关的斜率、截距、线性相关系数、RMSE 为均方根误差、NRMSE为归一化均方根误差。P(t*)中,*表示模拟值和实测值无 显著性差异的可信度为95%。 |
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